{ "project_id": "arg-901831", "entity_id": "62ad65cc-d22a-43ab-9073-e3cf07d7f436", "provider_stack": [ "openai" ], "report_type": "standard", "report_mode": "data_only", "facts_pack": { "importer": { "entity_id": "62ad65cc-d22a-43ab-9073-e3cf07d7f436", "canonical_name": "DROGUERIA COMARSA S.A.", "country": null, "rank": 10, "market_share": 0.01972602824442589, "tax_id": null, "metrics": { "fob_total_usd": 1665273.3199999996, "cif_total_usd": 0, "qty_total": 0, "shipment_count": 132, "avg_shipment_fob": 12615.706969696967, "fob_last_12m": 485740.8899999999, "fob_last_24m": 654285.8400000001, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 48107.1, "2011": 431323.77999999985, "2012": 700101.55, "2014": 485740.8899999999 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2014": 0 }, "yoy_growth_fob": -0.30618509557649193, "yoy_growth_qty": null, "cagr_fob": 1.2249897563810785, "cagr_qty": null, "trend_direction": "declining", "trend_direction_raw": "growing", "peak_year": "2012", "peak_fob": 700101.55, "momentum_score": 2.2250395267320404, "fob_annual_cv": 0.5648002709040567, "procurement_stability": "volatile", "supplier_count": 2, "china_supplier_count": 1, "china_pct_fob": 0.999999363467854, "top_supplier_name": "未提供供应商名称", "top_supplier_pct": 0.999999363467854, "hhi": 9999.987269365183, "supplier_diversity": "concentrated", "avg_unit_price_usd": null, "median_unit_price_usd": null, "min_unit_price_usd": null, "max_unit_price_usd": null, "price_range_multiple": null, "cif_fob_ratio": 0, "primary_port": "Buenos Aires", "port_distribution_json": { "Buenos Aires": 127, "Ezeiza": 5 }, "transport_mode_primary": "Acu醫ica", "transport_distribution_json": { "Acu醫ica": 127, "A閞ea": 5 }, "payment_method_primary": "UNKNOWN", "payment_distribution_json": { "UNKNOWN": 132 }, "fob_by_month_json": { "1": 53012.04750000001, "2": 27679.495, "5": 60669.99750000001, "6": 13710.31, "7": 14177.205, "8": 26447.559999999998, "9": 11895.067500000001, "10": 45780.255, "11": 107392.92499999999, "12": 55553.467500000006 }, "peak_months": [ 11, 5, 12 ], "low_months": [ 7, 6, 9 ], "seasonality_score": 0.6738639544605783, "next_peak_month": 11, "priority_score": 8, "active_years": 4, "annualized_fob": 416318.3299999999, "first_year_fob": 48107.1, "latest_year_fob": 485740.8899999999, "median_yearly_fob": 458532.33499999985, "peak_multiple": 1.5268313629397592, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.6938149044235081, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 10.097072781356596, "latest_vs_first_growth": 9.097072781356596, "cagr_reliable": false, "cagr_unreliable_reason": "first_year_below_50k", "latest_annualization_factor": 1.0909090909090908, "latest_year_months": 11, "resolved_trend_key": "declining", "resolved_trend_label": "下行", "china_fob": 1665272.2599999995, "china_penetration": 0.999999363467854, "penetration_tier": "high", "penetration_tier_label": "高渗透", "top1_supplier_id": null, "top1_supplier_name": "未提供供应商名称", "top1_is_non_china_lead": false, "top1_cumulative_share": 0.999999363467854, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_year_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 1, "top1_last_active_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_year": 2010, "top1_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "top1_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "top1_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "top1_first_active_year_fob": 48107.1, "top1_latest_year_fob": 485740.8899999999, "top1_last_active_year_fob": 485740.8899999999, "exited_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_share": 6.365321459662851e-7, "new_supplier_count": 0, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0, "uncertain_group_pairs": 0, "uncertain_group_pair_examples": [], "barrier_tier": "single_locked", "barrier_tier_label": "单一锁定", "price_band_count": 0, "main_price_band_share": 0, "price_band_breakdown": [], "supplier_price_gap": null, "scenario_id": "default", "scenario_name": "常规账户", "supplier_motion": "stable", "supplier_motion_label": "主供稳定", "supplier_motion_raw": "stable", "supplier_motion_override": false, "trend_label": "pulse_stabilized", "trend_label_name": "脉冲后稳升", "suppliers_list_json": [ { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 1665272.2599999995, "pct": 0.999999363467854, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 127, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2014, "supplier_active_years": 4, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 0.9999984859339334, "2014": 1 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 1.06, "pct": 6.365321459662851e-7, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 5, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2012, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.0000015140660665584871, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.0000015140660665584871, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.0000015140660665584871, "supplier_delta": -0.0000015140660665584871, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0.0000015140660665584871, "2014": 0 } } ], "group_rollup_summary": { "total_group_count": 2, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0 }, "market_total_fob": 84420102.18, "annualized_fob_p25": 434.34000000000003, "annualized_fob_p50": 2614.13, "annualized_fob_p75": 26429, "annualized_fob_p90": 194149.81840000013, "data_freshness": "historical", "data_freshness_label": "历史", "volume_score": 10, "window_score": 5, "barrier_score": 1.5, "trend_score": 7.5, "barrier_score_base": 2.5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "Top1 过高", "delta": -1 } ], "barrier_score_reason": "single_locked 基础分 2.5，Top1 过高-1.0", "trend_score_base": 7, "trend_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "增速强", "delta": 0.5 } ], "trend_score_reason": "pulse_stabilized 基础分 7.0，增速强+0.5", "priority_score_v2": 5.6, "priority_weighted_raw": 6.3, "priority_freshness_modifier": -0.75, "priority_override": null, "priority_level": "先研究", "rank": 10, "market_share": 0.01972602824442589, "suppliers_list": [ { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 1665272.2599999995, "pct": 0.999999363467854, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 127, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2014, "supplier_active_years": 4, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 0.9999984859339334, "2014": 1 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 1.06, "pct": 6.365321459662851e-7, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 5, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2012, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.0000015140660665584871, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.0000015140660665584871, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.0000015140660665584871, "supplier_delta": -0.0000015140660665584871, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0.0000015140660665584871, "2014": 0 } } ], "active_year_count": 4, "name": "DROGUERIA COMARSA S.A.", "tax_id": null } }, "market": { "total_fob": 84419388.16000006, "importer_count": 193, "market_avg_unit_price_usd": null, "market_median_unit_price_usd": null, "hs_code": null, "hs_code_6": null, "product_category": null, "hs_description": null, "hs_description_zh": null, "hs_description_es": null, "total_records": 7893, "country": "阿根廷", "country_code": "ARG", "snapshot_date": "2014-12-30", "status": "published" }, "top_suppliers": [], "all_suppliers": [], "raw_supplier_count": 2, "raw_top_supplier_count": 0 }, "account_analysis": { "importer_procurement": { "annualized_shipments": 33, "frequency_tier": "高频采购账户", "avg_gap_days": 11.35, "gap_cv": 4.32, "rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "years_active": 4, "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": "2014", "avg_annual_fob": 416318.33, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1.33, "p75": 6 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 0, "p75": 0 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2010, 2011, 2012, 2014 ], "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2014, "first_year_fob": 48107.1, "latest_year_fob": 485740.8899999999, "peak_year": 2012, "peak_fob": 700101.55, "avg_annual_fob": 416318.3299999999, "median_annual_fob": 458532.33499999985, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 10.097072781356596, "latest_vs_first_growth": 9.097072781356596, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.6938149044235081, "peak_multiple": 1.5268313629397592, "cagr_fob": 1.2249897563810785 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [], "dominant_group": null, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "total_group_count": 0, "summary_text": "", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": {} }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": null, "top_supplier_pct": 0.999999363467854, "supplier_count": 2, "top_supplier_sample_count": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "high", "label": "高渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "stable", "raw_key": "stable", "label": "主供稳定", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 0, "to_year": null, "from_share": 0, "to_share": 0, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "pulse_stabilized", "label": "脉冲后稳升" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "high_stable_pulse_stabilized_single_locked", "scenario_label": "常规账户", "opportunity_type": "份额争夺型", "action_level": "立刻开发", "entry_position": "打二供 / 备份窗口", "advantage_focus": "产品线补齐 + 稳定交付", "resource_boundary": "别按空白新客户打法推进。", "matrix_mode": "default", "size_tier": "Tier B", "output_depth": "compact", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0.999999363467854, "annualized_fob": 416318.3299999999, "active_years": 4, "shipment_count": 132, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 9999.987269365183, "top_supplier_pct": 0.999999363467854, "top1_first_year_share": null, "top1_first_active_year": null, "top1_first_active_share": null, "top1_latest_year_share": null, "top1_peak_share": null, "top1_peak_share_year": null, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": null, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.6938149044235081, "latest_vs_first_growth": 9.097072781356596, "cagr_fob": 1.2249897563810785, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2012, "peak_fob": 700101.55, "latest_year_fob": 485740.8899999999 }, "trigger_summary": [ "高渗透（中国采购 100%）", "主供稳定 · 0年 0% → 0年 0%（+0pp）", "脉冲后稳升 · 末年/峰值 69%", "单一锁定（HHI 10,000 · Top1 100%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": {} }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2012, "last_year": 2014, "gap_years": 12, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2014年（相较2012年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2014 年，距今已 12 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 0, "band_count": 0, "summary_text": "该 importer 缺少可计算单价的原始记录，价格带需要后续核验。", "bands": [] }, "decision_summary": null, "raw_export_summary": { "row_count": 132, "date_min": "2010-11-02", "date_max": "2014-11-28", "total_fob_usd": 1665273.3199999994, "hs_codes": [ "90183119230", "90183119220", "90183111210", "90183119250", "90183119240", "90183119210", "90183111110", "90183119900", "90183119290" ], "hs_breakdown": [ { "hs_code": "90183119230", "row_count": 29, "fob_total_usd": 702219.3800000001, "fob_share": 0.42168415933067394 }, { "hs_code": "90183119220", "row_count": 26, "fob_total_usd": 339650.61999999994, "fob_share": 0.20396088493148984 }, { "hs_code": "90183119240", "row_count": 20, "fob_total_usd": 330145.75, "fob_share": 0.19825319125391389 }, { "hs_code": "90183111210", "row_count": 21, "fob_total_usd": 134165.87999999998, "fob_share": 0.08056688255835386 }, { "hs_code": "90183119250", "row_count": 21, "fob_total_usd": 92303.29000000002, "fob_share": 0.05542831251268714 }, { "hs_code": "90183119210", "row_count": 12, "fob_total_usd": 62420.38999999999, "fob_share": 0.0374835705648608 }, { "hs_code": "90183111110", "row_count": 1, "fob_total_usd": 2503.44, "fob_share": 0.0015033207882055068 }, { "hs_code": "90183119290", "row_count": 1, "fob_total_usd": 1863.97, "fob_share": 0.0011193177586007327 }, { "hs_code": "90183119900", "row_count": 1, "fob_total_usd": 0.6, "fob_share": 3.6030121469789726e-7 } ], "supplier_raw_count": 1 }, "generated_at": "2026-04-16T14:14:10.421Z" }