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"exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": null, "top_supplier_pct": 0.8449063593183065, "supplier_count": 9, "top_supplier_sample_count": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "zero", "label": "零渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "declining", "raw_key": "declining", "label": "主供回落", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 0, "to_year": null, "from_share": 0, "to_share": 0, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "growth", "label": "持续增长" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "zero_penetration_barrier", "scenario_label": "零渗透 · 堡垒型", "opportunity_type": "壁垒验证型", "action_level": "先研究", "entry_position": "打尾部 / 外部窗口", "advantage_focus": "壁垒验证 + 外部窗口", "resource_boundary": "先验证品牌、集团采购或合规壁垒，别一上来就报全线价格。", "matrix_mode": "zero_barrier", "size_tier": "Tier B", "output_depth": "compact", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 503120.2159999999, "active_years": 5, "shipment_count": 59, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 7211.170759411694, "top_supplier_pct": 0.8449063593183065, "top1_first_year_share": null, "top1_first_active_year": null, "top1_first_active_share": null, "top1_latest_year_share": null, "top1_peak_share": null, "top1_peak_share_year": null, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": null, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.8984012515761229, "latest_vs_first_growth": 3.1054137818939553, "cagr_fob": 0.42344022363868494, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2011, "peak_fob": 781165.4299999998, "latest_year_fob": 701800.0000000001 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供稳定 · 0年 0% → 0年 0%（+0pp）", "持续增长 · 末年/峰值 90%", "高度集中（HHI 7,211 · Top1 84%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": {} }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2013, "last_year": 2014, "gap_years": 12, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2014年（相较2013年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2014 年，距今已 12 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 0, "band_count": 0, "summary_text": "该 importer 缺少可计算单价的原始记录，价格带需要后续核验。", "bands": [] }, "decision_summary": null, "raw_export_summary": { "row_count": 59, "date_min": "2010-02-02", "date_max": "2014-12-22", "total_fob_usd": 2515601.0799999996, "hs_codes": [ "90183190000", "90183119110", "90183119900" ], "hs_breakdown": [ { "hs_code": "90183190000", "row_count": 52, "fob_total_usd": 2400514.8700000006, "fob_share": 0.9542510094645058 }, { "hs_code": "90183119110", "row_count": 2, "fob_total_usd": 115005.73, "fob_share": 0.04571699818160359 }, { "hs_code": "90183119900", "row_count": 5, "fob_total_usd": 80.48, "fob_share": 0.00003199235389102314 } ], "supplier_raw_count": 1 }, "generated_at": "2026-04-16T14:08:52.636Z" }