{ "project_id": "pry-901831", "entity_id": "fc68b4e6-2496-4e5f-babd-17c081e3bbac", "provider_stack": [ "openai" ], "report_type": "competitive_intel", "report_mode": "data_only", "facts_pack": { "importer": { "entity_id": "fc68b4e6-2496-4e5f-babd-17c081e3bbac", "canonical_name": "AGROVETERINARIA CONSULTPEC SRL", "country": null, "rank": 10, "market_share": 0.028968547240191468, "tax_id": null, "metrics": { "fob_total_usd": 304737.5, "cif_total_usd": 0, "qty_total": 29878, "shipment_count": 31, "avg_shipment_fob": 9830.241935483871, "fob_last_12m": 45861, "fob_last_24m": 102998.5, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 35875, "2011": 82475, "2012": 36479, "2013": 52976, "2014": 51202, "2015": 45730.5 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 750, "2011": 24970, "2012": 730, "2013": 1111, "2014": 1071, "2015": 1246 }, "yoy_growth_fob": -0.10686106011483927, "yoy_growth_qty": 0.16339869281045752, "cagr_fob": 0.1384161805158024, "cagr_qty": 0.2003547284890992, "trend_direction": "declining", "trend_direction_raw": "growing", "peak_year": "2011", "peak_fob": 82475, "momentum_score": 1.8700420836876648, "fob_annual_cv": 0.30731657644163163, "procurement_stability": "volatile", "supplier_count": 1, "china_supplier_count": 0, "china_pct_fob": 0, "top_supplier_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "top_supplier_pct": 1, "hhi": 10000, "supplier_diversity": "concentrated", "avg_unit_price_usd": 40.5422943029696, "median_unit_price_usd": 49, "min_unit_price_usd": 1, "max_unit_price_usd": 54, "price_range_multiple": 54, "cif_fob_ratio": 0, "primary_port": "AEROP. PETTIROSSI", "port_distribution_json": { "UNKNOWN": 9, "AEROP. 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"latest_annualization_factor": 1.5, "latest_year_months": 8, "resolved_trend_key": "declining", "resolved_trend_label": "下行", "china_fob": 0, "china_penetration": 0, "penetration_tier": "zero", "penetration_tier_label": "零渗透", "top1_supplier_id": "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427", "top1_supplier_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "top1_is_non_china_lead": true, "top1_cumulative_share": 1, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_year_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 1, "top1_last_active_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_year": 2010, "top1_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "top1_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "top1_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "top1_first_active_year_fob": 35875, "top1_latest_year_fob": 45730.5, "top1_last_active_year_fob": 45730.5, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "external_group_count": 1, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0, "uncertain_group_pairs": 0, "uncertain_group_pair_examples": [], "barrier_tier": "single_locked", "barrier_tier_label": "单一锁定", "price_band_count": 3, "main_price_band_share": 0.35496615939948317, "price_band_breakdown": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 11, "fob_total_usd": 108171.5, "fob_share": 0.35496615939948317, "min_unit_price": 1, "max_unit_price": 47.5, "avg_unit_price": 22.612078372099386, "median_unit_price": 15.836065573770492 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 94515, "fob_share": 0.31015218015505147, "min_unit_price": 48, "max_unit_price": 49.67741935483871, "avg_unit_price": 48.96774193548387, "median_unit_price": 49 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 102051, "fob_share": 0.33488166044546536, "min_unit_price": 49.9, "max_unit_price": 54, "avg_unit_price": 51.840084194412555, "median_unit_price": 51.730769230769226 } ], "supplier_price_gap": null, "scenario_id": "zero_penetration_barrier", "scenario_name": "零渗透·堡垒型", "supplier_motion": "stable", "supplier_motion_label": "主供稳定", "supplier_motion_raw": "stable", "supplier_motion_override": false, "trend_label": "pulse_stabilized", "trend_label_name": "脉冲后稳升", "suppliers_list_json": [ { "entity_id": "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427", "name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "fob": 304737.5, "pct": 1, "qty": 29878, "shipment_count": 31, "avg_unit_price": 10.199394203092577, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 1 } } ], "group_rollup_summary": { "total_group_count": 1, "external_group_count": 1, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0 }, "market_total_fob": 10519598.98, "annualized_fob_p25": 620.75, "annualized_fob_p50": 4586.273999999999, "annualized_fob_p75": 17915.9575, "annualized_fob_p90": 50892.636666666665, "data_freshness": "historical", "data_freshness_label": "历史", "volume_score": 8, "window_score": 3, "barrier_score": 1.5, "trend_score": 7, "barrier_score_base": 2.5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "Top1 过高", "delta": -1 } ], "barrier_score_reason": "single_locked 基础分 2.5，Top1 过高-1.0", "trend_score_base": 7, "trend_score_adjustments": [], "trend_score_reason": "pulse_stabilized 基础分 7.0，无额外修正", "priority_score_v2": 4.3, "priority_weighted_raw": 5, "priority_freshness_modifier": -0.75, "priority_override": null, "priority_level": "暂时忽略", "rank": 10, "market_share": 0.028968547240191468, "suppliers_list": [ { "entity_id": "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427", "name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "fob": 304737.5, "pct": 1, "qty": 29878, "shipment_count": 31, "avg_unit_price": 10.199394203092577, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 1 } } ], "active_year_count": 6, "name": "AGROVETERINARIA CONSULTPEC SRL", "tax_id": null } }, "market": { "total_fob": 10519432.98, "importer_count": 103, "market_avg_unit_price_usd": 0.048437329512245456, "market_median_unit_price_usd": 0.08417067857142857, "hs_code": null, "hs_code_6": null, "product_category": null, "hs_description": null, "hs_description_zh": null, "hs_description_es": null, "total_records": 1014, "country": "巴拉圭", "country_code": "PRY", "snapshot_date": "2015-08-27", "status": "published" }, "top_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427", "name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "fob": 304737.5, "pct": 1, "qty": 29878, "shipment_count": 31, "avg_unit_price": 10.199394203092577, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 1 }, "canonical_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 9, "supplier_market_share": 0.028968547240191468, "supplier_total_fob": 304737.5, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 3.93, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427" ], "aliases": [ "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "all_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427", "name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "fob": 304737.5, "pct": 1, "qty": 29878, "shipment_count": 31, "avg_unit_price": 10.199394203092577, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 1 }, "canonical_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 9, "supplier_market_share": 0.028968547240191468, "supplier_total_fob": 304737.5, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 3.93, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427" ], "aliases": [ "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "raw_supplier_count": 1, "raw_top_supplier_count": 1 }, "account_analysis": { "importer_procurement": { "annualized_shipments": 5.17, "frequency_tier": "低频/项目型采购账户", "avg_gap_days": 65.53, "gap_cv": 0.6, "rhythm_label": "常规补货", "years_active": 6, "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": "2015", "avg_annual_fob": 50789.58, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1, "p75": 2.1 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 5.17, "p75": 5.17 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 ], "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_fob": 35875, "latest_year_fob": 45730.5, "peak_year": 2011, "peak_fob": 82475, "avg_annual_fob": 50789.583333333336, "median_annual_fob": 48466.25, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 1.274717770034843, "latest_vs_first_growth": 0.2747177700348431, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.5544771142770537, "peak_multiple": 1.701699636344879, "cagr_fob": 0.1384161805158024 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [ { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "HOPPNER", "APARELHOS", "VETERINARIOS" ], "primary_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "members": [ { "entity_id": "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427", "name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "fob": 304737.5, "pct": 1, "qty": 29878, "shipment_count": 31, "avg_unit_price": 10.199394203092577, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 1 }, "canonical_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 9, "supplier_market_share": 0.028968547240191468, "supplier_total_fob": 304737.5, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 3.93, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427" ], "aliases": [ "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 1, "total_fob": 304737.5, "label": "HOPPNER APARELHOS", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 } ], "dominant_group": { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "HOPPNER", "APARELHOS", "VETERINARIOS" ], "primary_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "members": [ { "entity_id": "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427", "name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "fob": 304737.5, "pct": 1, "qty": 29878, "shipment_count": 31, "avg_unit_price": 10.199394203092577, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 1 }, "canonical_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 9, "supplier_market_share": 0.028968547240191468, "supplier_total_fob": 304737.5, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 3.93, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427" ], "aliases": [ "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 1, "total_fob": 304737.5, "label": "HOPPNER APARELHOS", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 1, "total_group_count": 1, "summary_text": "表面上有 1 家 supplier 参与该账户，但按集团归集后可视为 1 个供应集团。 真正独立的外部供应集团约 1 个，占 100.0%。 其中 HOPPNER APARELHOS 占比最高，约 100.0%。", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": { "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427": { "group_id": "group-1", "group_label": "HOPPNER APARELHOS", "group_share": 1, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false } } }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": { "supplier_name": "HOPPNER APARELHOS VETERINARIOS LTDA..-", "supplier_entity_id": "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427", "total_share": 1, "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "持续供货", "price_role": "中价带", "sample_share": 1, "account_shipment_count": 31, "account_annualized_shipments": 5.17, "account_avg_gap_days": 65.53, "account_rhythm_label": "常规补货", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 1, "importer_latest_year_share": 1, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2015, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 6, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 1, "delta": 0 }, "group_label": "HOPPNER APARELHOS", "group_share": 1, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 持续供货", "competitive_signal": "这个外部主供还压着大头，先把它当成主要壁垒去看。", "attack_focus": "先判断它卡住的是品牌、注册，还是关键规格和质量门槛。", "entry_angle": "没验证出外部窗口前，别急着和主供正面对打。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 6 年 · 累计份额 100%", "share_window_fob_estimate": 0 }, "top_supplier_pct": 1, "supplier_count": 1, "top_supplier_sample_count": 1, "external_group_count": 1, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "zero", "label": "零渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "stable", "raw_key": "stable", "label": "主供稳定", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 1, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "pulse_stabilized", "label": "脉冲后稳升" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "zero_penetration_barrier", "scenario_label": "零渗透 · 堡垒型", "opportunity_type": "低 ROI 筛选型", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "entry_position": "快速筛选 / 无窗口即跳过", "advantage_focus": "一次性壁垒验证", "resource_boundary": "这类小体量封闭型优先快速筛掉；只有出现明确体系外窗口时，才值得继续投入。", "matrix_mode": "zero_barrier", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": "screening", "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 50789.583333333336, "active_years": 6, "shipment_count": 31, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 10000, "top_supplier_pct": 1, "top1_first_year_share": 1, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_share": 1, "top1_peak_share_year": 2010, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.5544771142770537, "latest_vs_first_growth": 0.2747177700348431, "cagr_fob": 0.1384161805158024, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2011, "peak_fob": 82475, "latest_year_fob": 45730.5 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供稳定 · 2010年 100% → 2015年 100%（+0pp）", "脉冲后稳升 · 末年/峰值 55%", "单一锁定（HHI 10,000 · Top1 100%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": { "69f9ad63-ec49-4b7a-9b5b-aba9c898b427": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "持续供货", "price_role": "中价带", "sample_share": 1, "account_shipment_count": 31, "account_annualized_shipments": 5.17, "account_avg_gap_days": 65.53, "account_rhythm_label": "常规补货", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 1, "importer_latest_year_share": 1, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2015, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 6, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 1, "delta": 0 }, "group_label": "HOPPNER APARELHOS", "group_share": 1, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 持续供货", "competitive_signal": "这个外部主供还压着大头，先把它当成主要壁垒去看。", "attack_focus": "先判断它卡住的是品牌、注册，还是关键规格和质量门槛。", "entry_angle": "没验证出外部窗口前，别急着和主供正面对打。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 6 年 · 累计份额 100%" } } }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2014, "last_year": 2015, "gap_years": 11, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2015年（相较2014年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2015 年，距今已 11 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 31, "band_count": 3, "range_multiple": 54, "summary_text": "存在 3 个明显价格带：低价带 $1.00–$47.50（FOB 占比 35%）；中价带 $48.00–$49.68（FOB 占比 31%）；高价带 $49.90–$54.00（FOB 占比 33%）。", "bands": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 11, "fob_total_usd": 108171.5, "fob_share": 0.35496615939948317, "min_unit_price": 1, "max_unit_price": 47.5, "avg_unit_price": 22.612078372099386, "median_unit_price": 15.836065573770492 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 94515, "fob_share": 0.31015218015505147, "min_unit_price": 48, "max_unit_price": 49.67741935483871, "avg_unit_price": 48.96774193548387, "median_unit_price": 49 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 102051, "fob_share": 0.33488166044546536, "min_unit_price": 49.9, "max_unit_price": 54, "avg_unit_price": 51.840084194412555, "median_unit_price": 51.730769230769226 } ] }, "decision_summary": null, "raw_export_summary": { "row_count": 31, "date_min": "2010-04-06", "date_max": "2015-08-24", "total_fob_usd": 304737.5, "hs_codes": [ "90183190", "90183119" ], "hs_breakdown": [ { "hs_code": "90183190", "row_count": 27, "fob_total_usd": 298410.5, "fob_share": 0.9792378686574511 }, { "hs_code": "90183119", "row_count": 4, "fob_total_usd": 6327, "fob_share": 0.020762131342548916 } ], "supplier_raw_count": 7 }, "generated_at": "2026-04-17T00:20:37.847Z" }