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"supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": null, "top_supplier_pct": 1, "supplier_count": 1, "top_supplier_sample_count": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "zero", "label": "零渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "stable", "raw_key": "stable", "label": "主供稳定", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 0, "to_year": null, "from_share": 0, "to_share": 0, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "pulse_reverted", "label": "脉冲后回归" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "zero_penetration_barrier", "scenario_label": "零渗透 · 堡垒型", "opportunity_type": "低 ROI 筛选型", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "entry_position": "快速筛选 / 无窗口即跳过", "advantage_focus": "一次性壁垒验证", "resource_boundary": "这类小体量封闭型优先快速筛掉；只有出现明确体系外窗口时，才值得继续投入。", "matrix_mode": "zero_barrier", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": "screening", "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 127353.89666666671, "active_years": 6, "shipment_count": 59, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 10000, "top_supplier_pct": 1, "top1_first_year_share": null, "top1_first_active_year": null, "top1_first_active_share": null, "top1_latest_year_share": null, "top1_peak_share": null, "top1_peak_share_year": null, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": null, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.3635255338718864, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.3628427942250667, "cagr_fob": -0.08620385873852365, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2012, "peak_fob": 179193.74, "latest_year_fob": 65141.5 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供稳定 · 0年 0% → 0年 0%（+0pp）", "平稳型 · 末年/峰值 36%", "单一锁定（HHI 10,000 · Top1 100%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": {} }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2014, "last_year": 2015, "gap_years": 11, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2015年（相较2014年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2015 年，距今已 11 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 0, "band_count": 0, "summary_text": "该 importer 缺少可计算单价的原始记录，价格带需要后续核验。", "bands": [] }, "decision_summary": null, "raw_export_summary": { "row_count": 59, "date_min": "2010-01-11", "date_max": "2015-07-07", "total_fob_usd": 764123.3799999999, "hs_codes": [ "9018311910" ], "hs_breakdown": [ { "hs_code": "9018311910", "row_count": 59, "fob_total_usd": 764123.3799999999, "fob_share": 1 } ], "supplier_raw_count": 1 }, "generated_at": "2026-04-17T00:21:22.467Z" }