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"reference": { "from_year": 0, "to_year": null, "from_share": 0, "to_share": 0, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "shrinking", "label": "持续萎缩" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "zero_penetration_shrinking", "scenario_label": "零渗透 · 收缩型", "opportunity_type": "暂缓型", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "entry_position": "先不投入", "advantage_focus": "先确认是否还在采购", "resource_boundary": "客户既没用中国又在收缩，别急着投报价、样品和跟进节奏。", "matrix_mode": "zero_shrinking", "size_tier": "Tier B", "output_depth": "compact", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 298186.76666666666, "active_years": 3, "shipment_count": 11, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 7079.541778835679, "top_supplier_pct": 0.8224547858875472, "top1_first_year_share": null, "top1_first_active_year": null, "top1_first_active_share": null, "top1_latest_year_share": null, "top1_peak_share": null, "top1_peak_share_year": null, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": null, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.22695777191987507, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.1431229611981496, "cagr_fob": -0.0743234696710463, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2012, "peak_fob": 599641.99, "latest_year_fob": 136093.41 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供稳定 · 0年 0% → 0年 0%（+0pp）", "持续萎缩 · 末年/峰值 23%", "高度集中（HHI 7,080 · Top1 82%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": {} }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2012, "last_year": 2013, "gap_years": 13, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2013年（相较2012年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2013 年，距今已 13 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 0, "band_count": 0, "summary_text": "该 importer 缺少可计算单价的原始记录，价格带需要后续核验。", "bands": [] }, "decision_summary": null, "raw_export_summary": 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